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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Tech
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3 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▼ −1.6%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

46 outcomes
See all 46 outcomes

Total volume

$4.4K

24h vol.

$10.42

1w vol.

$74.94

1m vol.

$790.787

Liquidity

$49.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$40
1¢$20
1¢$10
0¢$438
0¢$1,000
0¢$638
0¢$6,781
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$69
4¢$10
5¢$10,516
6¢$17
9¢$200
9¢$55
12¢$50
12¢$200
12¢$50
33¢$300

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell5¢65
1 mo. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoBuy5¢43
1 mo. agoSell93¢7
1 mo. agoSell7¢7
1 mo. agoSell94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢7
1 mo. agoBuy2¢7
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoSell1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy1¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell95¢6
1 mo. agoBuy95¢6
1 mo. agoSell95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy98¢6
1 mo. agoBuy2¢6
1 mo. agoSell6¢1
1 mo. agoSell94¢1
1 mo. agoSell93¢6
1 mo. agoBuy93¢6
1 mo. agoSell93¢3
1 mo. agoSell7¢3
1 mo. agoBuy94¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy94¢6
1 mo. agoSell94¢6
1 mo. agoSell92¢5
1 mo. agoSell8¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢3
1 mo. agoSell95¢3
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoSell95¢5
1 mo. agoSell93¢7
1 mo. agoSell7¢7
1 mo. agoSell93¢7
1 mo. agoBuy93¢7
1 mo. agoSell93¢7
1 mo. agoBuy93¢7
1 mo. agoSell93¢5
1 mo. agoSell7¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢7
1 mo. agoBuy5¢7
1 mo. agoBuy95¢7

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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