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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Neymar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Tech

2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W

Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$517.56

24h vol.

$31.33

1w vol.

$31.33

1m vol.

$141.58

Liquidity

$48.2K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Jul 17, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢

Bids (buy)Size

0¢$140

0¢$2,088

0¢$49,322

Asks (sell)Size

4¢$110

4¢$10,581

4¢$346

5¢$601

29¢$10

29¢$5

37¢$15

37¢$75

38¢$176

39¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (9)

Buys 51%Sells 49%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
1 mo. ago	Sell	0¢	10
1 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	10
1 mo. ago	Sell	1¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	99¢	5
1 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5
3 mo. ago	Sell	0¢	300
3 mo. ago	Buy	0¢	295
3 mo. ago	Buy	1¢	5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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