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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will LeBron James be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
1 %
chance
#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?
46 outcomes- Lindsay Clancy23 %
- Erling Haaland18 %
- Bad Bunny10 %
- Donald Trump5 %
- Alysa Liu5 %
- Nicolás Maduro4 %
- Jude Bellingham3 %
- Lionel Messi3 %
- Benjamin Netanyahu3 %
- Patrick Mahomes2 %
- Neymar2 %
- Sabrina Carpenter2 %
- Cristiano Ronaldo2 %
- Taylor Swift2 %
- Shohei Ohtani2 %
- Kylian Mbappé1 %
- Matt Damon1 %
- Christian Pulisic1 %
- Robert Downey Jr.1 %
- LeBron James1 %
- Luka Dončić1 %
- Scarlett Johansson1 %
- Ja Morant1 %
- Lamine Yamal1 %
- Kanye West1 %
- Sydney Sweeney1 %
- Travis Kelce1 %
- Jacob Elordi1 %
- Ariana Grande1 %
- Vladimir Putin1 %
- Elon Musk1 %
- Zendaya1 %
- Chappell Roan1 %
- Stefon Diggs1 %
- Josh Allen0 %
- Timothée Chalamet0 %
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy0 %
- Anthony Edwards0 %
- Joe Burrow0 %
- Caitlin Clark0 %
- Angel Reese0 %
- Billie Eilish0 %
- Pedro Pascal0 %
- Jake Paul0 %
- Scottie Scheffler0 %
- JD Vance0 %
Total volume
$787.52
24h vol.
$65.62
1w vol.
$131.24
1m vol.
$136.24
Liquidity
$46.2K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
2¢
Start date
Jul 17, 2026
End date
Apr 1, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (29)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 66 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 94¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 91¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 91¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 4 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 6 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 296 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 30 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 160 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 26 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 300 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 295 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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