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Updated 2 mo. ago

Will Fjord win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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4 %

chance

▼ −0.3%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$2.1K

24h vol.

$30

1w vol.

$30

1m vol.

$545.6

Liquidity

$1.5K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 7¢

Spread 5¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$5
16¢$75
15¢$610
14¢$530
10¢$50
9¢$120
8¢$5
7¢$305
6¢$500
5¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
18¢$2
25¢$160
28¢$50
32¢$85
33¢$114
47¢$150
48¢$285
51¢$400
52¢$5
63¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 45%Sells 55%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoSell82¢3
2 mo. agoSell18¢3
2 mo. agoSell83¢13
2 mo. agoBuy83¢3
2 mo. agoBuy83¢10
2 mo. agoSell83¢61
2 mo. agoBuy83¢7
2 mo. agoBuy83¢47
2 mo. agoSell17¢8
2 mo. agoBuy83¢5
2 mo. agoBuy17¢5
2 mo. agoBuy79¢13
2 mo. agoBuy21¢13
2 mo. agoSell21¢6
2 mo. agoBuy21¢6
2 mo. agoBuy79¢38
2 mo. agoBuy21¢38
2 mo. agoBuy77¢13
2 mo. agoSell77¢13
2 mo. agoBuy77¢40
2 mo. agoSell77¢33
2 mo. agoSell75¢8
2 mo. agoBuy77¢26
2 mo. agoBuy21¢4
2 mo. agoSell77¢22
2 mo. agoSell26¢82
2 mo. agoSell74¢82
2 mo. agoBuy72¢40
2 mo. agoSell72¢40
2 mo. agoBuy72¢5
2 mo. agoSell72¢5
2 mo. agoBuy71¢6
2 mo. agoSell71¢6
2 mo. agoBuy80¢13
2 mo. agoSell80¢13
2 mo. agoSell71¢0
2 mo. agoBuy71¢0
2 mo. agoBuy80¢6
2 mo. agoSell80¢6
2 mo. agoBuy16¢31
2 mo. agoBuy84¢6
2 mo. agoSell16¢25
2 mo. agoBuy81¢13
2 mo. agoSell81¢13
2 mo. agoBuy81¢12
2 mo. agoSell81¢12
2 mo. agoSell77¢18
2 mo. agoSell23¢18
2 mo. agoBuy74¢2
2 mo. agoSell74¢2

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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