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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Possible Love win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.1%24h▲ +3.8%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$43

1w vol.

$43

1m vol.

$907.034

Liquidity

$1.4K

Bid / Ask

3¢ / 7¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
5¢$70
4¢$40
4¢$25
4¢$230
4¢$41
3¢$100
2¢$115
2¢$663
2¢$200
1¢$6
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$140
19¢$5
75¢$635
75¢$381
76¢$60
76¢$50
78¢$40
79¢$30
80¢$20
90¢$12

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy89¢2
1 mo. agoBuy11¢2
1 mo. agoBuy6¢18
1 mo. agoSell6¢15
1 mo. agoSell6¢3
1 mo. agoBuy6¢18
1 mo. agoSell6¢18
1 mo. agoSell6¢95
1 mo. agoBuy6¢95
1 mo. agoBuy6¢25
1 mo. agoSell6¢25
1 mo. agoBuy6¢18
1 mo. agoSell6¢18
1 mo. agoSell6¢135
1 mo. agoBuy6¢135
1 mo. agoSell6¢135
1 mo. agoBuy6¢95
1 mo. agoBuy6¢40
1 mo. agoBuy94¢4
1 mo. agoBuy6¢4
1 mo. agoSell6¢30
1 mo. agoBuy6¢30
1 mo. agoBuy7¢74
1 mo. agoSell7¢40
1 mo. agoSell7¢34
1 mo. agoSell2¢2
1 mo. agoBuy2¢2
1 mo. agoSell2¢12
1 mo. agoBuy2¢2
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢6
1 mo. agoBuy2¢6
1 mo. agoSell6¢140
1 mo. agoBuy6¢40
1 mo. agoBuy6¢100
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢128
2 mo. agoSell1¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢6
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoSell0¢12
2 mo. agoSell0¢21
2 mo. agoBuy0¢21
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢47
2 mo. agoBuy0¢38
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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