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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will All of a Sudden win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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3 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −1.7%24h▼ −1.8%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$40.85

1w vol.

$40.85

1m vol.

$1.2K

Liquidity

$1.9K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 5¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 10¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$10
1¢$70
1¢$120
1¢$126
1¢$125
1¢$50
1¢$200
0¢$8
0¢$224
0¢$806
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$60
24¢$139
24¢$274
24¢$146
49¢$500
49¢$50
50¢$40
52¢$30
92¢$15
92¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 62%Sells 38%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢21
1 mo. agoBuy0¢21
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢115
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢15
1 mo. agoBuy1¢37
1 mo. agoBuy1¢83
1 mo. agoSell2¢19
1 mo. agoBuy1¢11
1 mo. agoBuy2¢8
1 mo. agoBuy10¢19
1 mo. agoSell10¢19
1 mo. agoSell2¢12
1 mo. agoBuy2¢12
1 mo. agoBuy4¢338
1 mo. agoSell4¢304
1 mo. agoSell4¢34
1 mo. agoBuy97¢135
1 mo. agoBuy3¢125
1 mo. agoBuy3¢10
2 mo. agoBuy97¢10
2 mo. agoBuy3¢10
2 mo. agoBuy97¢47
2 mo. agoBuy3¢24
2 mo. agoBuy3¢15
2 mo. agoBuy3¢8
2 mo. agoBuy97¢7
2 mo. agoBuy3¢7
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy3¢5
2 mo. agoBuy97¢8
2 mo. agoBuy3¢8
2 mo. agoBuy97¢40
2 mo. agoBuy3¢40
2 mo. agoBuy97¢38
2 mo. agoBuy3¢38
2 mo. agoBuy97¢25
2 mo. agoBuy3¢25
2 mo. agoBuy97¢13
2 mo. agoBuy3¢13
2 mo. agoBuy97¢5
2 mo. agoBuy3¢5

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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