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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Minotaur win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▼ −0.4%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.8K

24h vol.

$10

1w vol.

$10

1m vol.

$395.669

Liquidity

$894.195

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$200
1¢$1,111
1¢$386
1¢$240
1¢$400
0¢$300
0¢$1,008
0¢$808
0¢$1,181
Asks (sell)Size
4¢$30
4¢$36
4¢$20
93¢$139
94¢$139
94¢$20
94¢$625
94¢$300
99¢$11
99¢$12

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 57%Sells 43%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢19
1 mo. agoBuy1¢116
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢14
1 mo. agoBuy1¢91
1 mo. agoBuy1¢30
1 mo. agoBuy2¢297
1 mo. agoSell2¢80
1 mo. agoSell2¢100
1 mo. agoSell2¢20
1 mo. agoSell2¢97
1 mo. agoSell0¢12
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12
1 mo. agoSell99¢135
1 mo. agoSell1¢135
1 mo. agoBuy99¢135
1 mo. agoBuy1¢135
2 mo. agoBuy99¢16
2 mo. agoBuy1¢4
2 mo. agoBuy1¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢2
2 mo. agoBuy99¢10
2 mo. agoBuy1¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢47
2 mo. agoBuy1¢47
2 mo. agoBuy99¢7
2 mo. agoBuy1¢7
2 mo. agoBuy99¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢5
2 mo. agoBuy99¢38
2 mo. agoBuy1¢38
2 mo. agoBuy99¢8
2 mo. agoBuy1¢8
2 mo. agoBuy99¢13
2 mo. agoBuy1¢13
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy99¢25
2 mo. agoBuy1¢25
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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