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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Rose win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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1 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 1¢No 99¢

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$196.634

1w vol.

$206.634

1m vol.

$940.624

Liquidity

$1.3K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 1¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$1,318
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$16
0¢$12
1¢$8
1¢$12
1¢$100
1¢$242
9¢$100
9¢$54
11¢$20
92¢$12

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 65%Sells 35%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢135
1 mo. agoSell0¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢132
1 mo. agoBuy0¢3
1 mo. agoSell0¢12
1 mo. agoBuy0¢12
1 mo. agoBuy100¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢125
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢4
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoSell0¢47
2 mo. agoBuy0¢37
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢7
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢8
2 mo. agoBuy0¢8
2 mo. agoBuy100¢38
2 mo. agoBuy0¢12
2 mo. agoBuy0¢9
2 mo. agoBuy1¢8
2 mo. agoBuy1¢9
2 mo. agoBuy100¢13
2 mo. agoBuy0¢13
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy99¢40
2 mo. agoBuy1¢40
2 mo. agoBuy99¢5
2 mo. agoBuy1¢5
2 mo. agoBuy99¢6
2 mo. agoBuy1¢6
2 mo. agoBuy100¢6
2 mo. agoBuy1¢6
2 mo. agoBuy97¢13

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

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