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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Fatherland win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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4 %

chance

▼ −0.2%1h▼ −1.3%24h▼ −3.3%1W
Yes 4¢No 96¢

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$2K

24h vol.

$20

1w vol.

$80

1m vol.

$1.1K

Liquidity

$1.5K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 7¢

Spread 7¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 400 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$29
7¢$40
6¢$16
6¢$55
3¢$50
3¢$131
2¢$6
1¢$40
1¢$40
1¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
11¢$12
16¢$40
16¢$43
18¢$40
19¢$15
60¢$625
60¢$381
60¢$50
60¢$40
65¢$30

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell4¢10
1 mo. agoBuy4¢10
1 mo. agoSell9¢135
1 mo. agoBuy9¢114
1 mo. agoSell91¢21
1 mo. agoBuy10¢28
1 mo. agoSell10¢28
1 mo. agoBuy9¢21
1 mo. agoBuy91¢21
1 mo. agoSell8¢121
1 mo. agoBuy5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy10¢40
1 mo. agoBuy10¢41
1 mo. agoSell10¢12
1 mo. agoBuy10¢12
1 mo. agoBuy93¢7
1 mo. agoBuy7¢7
1 mo. agoBuy1¢566
1 mo. agoBuy99¢400
1 mo. agoSell1¢124
1 mo. agoSell1¢16
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoSell1¢6
1 mo. agoSell1¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy0¢5
1 mo. agoBuy100¢135
1 mo. agoBuy0¢1
1 mo. agoBuy0¢124
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoSell1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy1¢100
2 mo. agoBuy0¢21
2 mo. agoSell1¢8
2 mo. agoSell0¢13
2 mo. agoBuy100¢16
2 mo. agoBuy0¢16
2 mo. agoBuy100¢10
2 mo. agoBuy0¢10
2 mo. agoBuy100¢47
2 mo. agoBuy0¢38
2 mo. agoBuy0¢6
2 mo. agoBuy0¢3
2 mo. agoBuy100¢7
2 mo. agoBuy0¢7
2 mo. agoBuy100¢5
2 mo. agoBuy0¢5
2 mo. agoBuy100¢25
2 mo. agoBuy0¢25
2 mo. agoBuy100¢40

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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