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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will The Black Ball win Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

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72 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −1.5%1W
Yes 72¢No 28¢

Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner

15 outcomes
See all 15 outcomes

Total volume

$23.1K

24h vol.

$406.868

1w vol.

$2.8K

1m vol.

$10.9K

Liquidity

$6.6K

Bid / Ask

71¢ / 73¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

71¢

Start date

Aug 6, 2026

End date

Mar 14, 2027

ends in 5 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
72¢$272
71¢$310
70¢$751
69¢$966
68¢$300
67¢$195
66¢$100
65¢$100
64¢$100
42¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
74¢$306
75¢$432
76¢$80
77¢$404
82¢$40
83¢$50
84¢$132
85¢$185
86¢$100
87¢$80

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy74¢7
1 mo. agoSell74¢7
1 mo. agoBuy74¢135
1 mo. agoSell74¢35
1 mo. agoBuy26¢100
1 mo. agoBuy73¢129
1 mo. agoSell73¢39
1 mo. agoBuy27¢40
1 mo. agoBuy27¢50
1 mo. agoBuy73¢10
1 mo. agoSell73¢10
1 mo. agoSell27¢40
1 mo. agoSell73¢40
1 mo. agoSell27¢50
1 mo. agoBuy27¢50
1 mo. agoBuy72¢10
1 mo. agoSell72¢10
1 mo. agoBuy70¢857
1 mo. agoBuy27¢31
1 mo. agoSell73¢108
1 mo. agoBuy28¢50
1 mo. agoBuy28¢56
1 mo. agoBuy30¢160
1 mo. agoBuy30¢40
1 mo. agoBuy30¢40
1 mo. agoBuy30¢30
1 mo. agoBuy31¢50
1 mo. agoBuy32¢40
1 mo. agoBuy32¢40
1 mo. agoSell68¢69
1 mo. agoBuy32¢100
1 mo. agoSell68¢43
1 mo. agoBuy67¢14
1 mo. agoBuy33¢14
1 mo. agoBuy67¢50
1 mo. agoBuy33¢50
1 mo. agoBuy68¢4
1 mo. agoSell68¢4
1 mo. agoBuy68¢15
1 mo. agoSell68¢15
1 mo. agoBuy67¢95
1 mo. agoBuy33¢40
1 mo. agoBuy33¢15
1 mo. agoSell67¢40
1 mo. agoBuy68¢500
1 mo. agoSell68¢17
1 mo. agoSell68¢40
1 mo. agoBuy32¢100
1 mo. agoBuy32¢100
1 mo. agoSell67¢160

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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