Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner odds
Live implied probabilities across 15 outcomes · $45.8K traded · updated 14 hr. ago
Resolves Mar 14, 2027
The Black Ball leads at 72 % · biggest 24h move: All of a Sudden −1.7 pp
#OutcomeChance24hVolume7d
- 1The Black Ball72 %▼ −0.5%$23.1K
- 2Possible Love5 %▼ −0.1%$1.8K
- 3Fjord4 %▼ −0.3%$2.1K
- 4Fatherland4 %▼ −1.3%$2K
- 5All of a Sudden3 %▼ −1.7%$1.8K
- 6Minotaur2 %▼ −0.4%$1.8K
- 7Rose1 %▲ +0.5%$1.5K
- 8Coward1 %▲ +0.4%$1.5K
- 9Sheep in the Box0 %—$1.4K
- 10The Man I Love0 %▲ +0.2%$1.3K
- 11Hope0 %▲ +0.2%$1.5K
- 12Bitter Christmas0 %▼ −0.4%$1.3K
Show all 15 outcomesShow fewer
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See the AI's numberFrequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite in Oscars 2027: Best International Feature Film Winner?
- The Black Ball is the current favourite at 72 %, ahead of 14 other outcomes. That number is the market's implied probability right now, and it moves as people trade.
- What do these odds actually mean?
- Each percentage is the market's implied probability — the price of a contract that pays out $1 if that outcome happens. An outcome trading at 30 % means the market thinks it happens roughly three times in ten. Across a field like this the percentages add up to about 100 %, because exactly one outcome can win.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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