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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
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16 %

chance

▼ −2.5%1h▼ −1.0%24h▼ −15.5%1W
Yes 16¢No 84¢

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$59.6K

24h vol.

$931.061

1w vol.

$6K

1m vol.

$30.2K

Liquidity

$2.9K

Bid / Ask

14¢ / 18¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
34¢$7
32¢$484
30¢$80
28¢$148
23¢$71
20¢$155
19¢$467
18¢$273
17¢$1,078
16¢$180
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$335
36¢$40
37¢$80
40¢$40
44¢$50
45¢$242
46¢$161
47¢$92
48¢$201
49¢$47

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 66%Sells 34%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy35¢3
3 wk. agoBuy65¢3
3 wk. agoBuy35¢14
3 wk. agoBuy65¢14
3 wk. agoBuy35¢48
3 wk. agoBuy65¢48
3 wk. agoSell34¢20
3 wk. agoSell66¢20
3 wk. agoBuy66¢20
3 wk. agoBuy34¢20
3 wk. agoBuy65¢100
3 wk. agoBuy35¢20
3 wk. agoSell65¢80
3 wk. agoSell64¢20
3 wk. agoSell36¢20
3 wk. agoBuy36¢20
3 wk. agoSell36¢20
3 wk. agoSell67¢260
3 wk. agoBuy66¢20
3 wk. agoBuy66¢20
3 wk. agoBuy66¢80
3 wk. agoBuy67¢20
3 wk. agoBuy67¢20
3 wk. agoBuy67¢100
3 wk. agoBuy36¢20
3 wk. agoSell36¢20
3 wk. agoSell72¢152
3 wk. agoBuy71¢30
3 wk. agoBuy71¢22
3 wk. agoSell28¢20
3 wk. agoSell28¢80
3 wk. agoSell74¢20
3 wk. agoSell26¢20
3 wk. agoSell25¢20
3 wk. agoBuy25¢20
3 wk. agoBuy69¢23
3 wk. agoBuy31¢23
3 wk. agoBuy61¢434
3 wk. agoSell63¢17
3 wk. agoBuy39¢20
3 wk. agoBuy39¢157
3 wk. agoBuy39¢80
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20
3 wk. agoBuy40¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.