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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

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56 %

chance

▼ −0.9%1h▼ −5.4%24h▲ +15.4%1W
Yes 56¢No 44¢

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$28.9K

24h vol.

$814.861

1w vol.

$4.7K

1m vol.

$23.4K

Liquidity

$2.3K

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 61¢

Spread 9¢

Last trade

59¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 8¢
Bids (buy)Size
26¢$147
26¢$19
13¢$10
13¢$10
13¢$50
12¢$100
10¢$7
10¢$141
8¢$100
6¢$495
Asks (sell)Size
34¢$40
34¢$7
40¢$100
45¢$5
49¢$106
49¢$40
49¢$100
50¢$100
50¢$20
51¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 55%Sells 45%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell26¢20
3 wk. agoBuy26¢20
3 wk. agoSell70¢29
3 wk. agoBuy69¢12
3 wk. agoBuy71¢17
3 wk. agoSell27¢33
3 wk. agoBuy27¢33
3 wk. agoBuy65¢100
3 wk. agoBuy34¢33
3 wk. agoSell65¢20
3 wk. agoSell65¢47
3 wk. agoSell60¢7
3 wk. agoBuy60¢7
3 wk. agoBuy37¢135
3 wk. agoSell39¢12
3 wk. agoSell37¢71
3 wk. agoSell37¢52
3 wk. agoSell35¢33
3 wk. agoSell65¢33
3 wk. agoBuy60¢21
3 wk. agoSell60¢21
3 wk. agoSell61¢5
3 wk. agoBuy61¢5
3 wk. agoSell63¢54
3 wk. agoSell37¢54
3 wk. agoBuy35¢289
3 wk. agoBuy65¢29
3 wk. agoBuy65¢80
3 wk. agoBuy65¢80
3 wk. agoSell34¢100
3 wk. agoBuy34¢7
3 wk. agoBuy66¢5
3 wk. agoSell34¢3
3 wk. agoSell66¢5
3 wk. agoSell34¢5
3 wk. agoBuy68¢7
3 wk. agoBuy32¢7
3 wk. agoSell32¢34
3 wk. agoBuy32¢34
3 wk. agoSell66¢20
3 wk. agoSell34¢20
3 wk. agoSell66¢20
3 wk. agoSell34¢20
3 wk. agoBuy30¢106
3 wk. agoSell30¢100
3 wk. agoSell30¢6
3 wk. agoSell74¢40
3 wk. agoBuy74¢20
3 wk. agoBuy74¢20
3 wk. agoSell74¢14

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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