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Updated 23 hr. ago

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
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13 %

chance

▲ +1.5%24h▲ +3.5%1W
Yes 13¢No 87¢

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$41.9K

24h vol.

$1.2K

1w vol.

$9.8K

1m vol.

$23.4K

Liquidity

$4.1K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 14¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$439
11¢$1,200
10¢$600
9¢$1,386
8¢$477
7¢$628
6¢$367
5¢$100
4¢$3,898
3¢$177
Asks (sell)Size
15¢$589
18¢$100
19¢$182
21¢$82
22¢$176
23¢$20
25¢$25
34¢$20
35¢$41
37¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
23 hr. agoBuy88¢57
23 hr. agoSell88¢5
23 hr. agoBuy12¢51
24 hr. agoBuy88¢15
24 hr. agoBuy12¢15
24 hr. agoBuy87¢100
24 hr. agoSell87¢100
24 hr. agoBuy86¢40
24 hr. agoBuy14¢10
24 hr. agoBuy14¢30
1 day agoBuy14¢127
1 day agoBuy86¢20
1 day agoBuy86¢23
1 day agoBuy86¢10
1 day agoBuy86¢23
1 day agoBuy86¢5
1 day agoBuy86¢5
1 day agoBuy86¢6
1 day agoBuy86¢5
1 day agoBuy86¢20
1 day agoBuy86¢10
1 day agoBuy86¢1
1 day agoBuy14¢1
1 day agoBuy86¢12
1 day agoBuy14¢12
1 day agoBuy88¢2
1 day agoBuy12¢2
1 day agoBuy88¢11
1 day agoBuy12¢11
1 day agoSell12¢10
1 day agoBuy12¢10
1 day agoBuy88¢6
1 day agoBuy12¢6
1 day agoBuy12¢5
1 day agoBuy88¢5
1 day agoSell87¢397
1 day agoBuy87¢349
1 day agoBuy88¢10
1 day agoBuy88¢20
1 day agoSell12¢18
1 day agoSell10¢281
1 day agoSell90¢181
1 day agoBuy11¢100
1 day agoBuy89¢20
1 day agoBuy11¢3
1 day agoSell89¢17
1 day agoBuy89¢20
1 day agoSell89¢12
1 day agoBuy11¢8
1 day agoBuy89¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.