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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

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7 %

chance

▼ −0.6%1h▼ −0.2%24h▼ −10.9%1W
Yes 7¢No 93¢

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$18.8K

24h vol.

$747.193

1w vol.

$2.8K

1m vol.

$8.6K

Liquidity

$3.5K

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 8¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
3¢$30
3¢$53
3¢$5
3¢$39
3¢$84
2¢$304
2¢$478
2¢$1,000
2¢$6
1¢$180
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$73
9¢$5
10¢$40
10¢$11
11¢$158
11¢$45
11¢$187
12¢$50
12¢$142
13¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy14¢219
1 mo. agoBuy82¢39
1 mo. agoBuy83¢10
1 mo. agoBuy83¢20
1 mo. agoSell15¢19
1 mo. agoSell15¢30
1 mo. agoBuy86¢10
1 mo. agoBuy86¢5
1 mo. agoSell13¢5
1 mo. agoSell13¢5
1 mo. agoSell13¢5
1 mo. agoSell13¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy92¢20
1 mo. agoSell8¢30
1 mo. agoBuy97¢2
1 mo. agoBuy3¢2
1 mo. agoBuy4¢48
1 mo. agoSell4¢48
1 mo. agoBuy3¢616
1 mo. agoSell3¢616
1 mo. agoSell3¢2
1 mo. agoBuy3¢2
1 mo. agoBuy97¢26
1 mo. agoBuy3¢26
1 mo. agoSell3¢9
1 mo. agoBuy3¢9
1 mo. agoSell97¢41
1 mo. agoSell3¢41
1 mo. agoSell3¢12
1 mo. agoSell97¢12
1 mo. agoSell3¢174
1 mo. agoBuy3¢174
1 mo. agoSell3¢213
1 mo. agoBuy3¢165
1 mo. agoBuy3¢48
1 mo. agoSell1¢91
1 mo. agoBuy1¢91
1 mo. agoSell3¢867
1 mo. agoBuy1¢9
1 mo. agoBuy2¢300
1 mo. agoBuy2¢27
1 mo. agoBuy2¢50
1 mo. agoBuy3¢400
1 mo. agoBuy3¢81
1 mo. agoBuy87¢41
1 mo. agoBuy13¢41
1 mo. agoSell2¢50

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.