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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will StepFun have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
0 %
chance
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$11.9K
24h vol.
$23.1
1w vol.
$555.064
1m vol.
$11.2K
Liquidity
$2.6K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Aug 12, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2,586 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 155 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 2,387 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 35 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 91 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 84 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 3 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.