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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?

Tech
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2 %

chance

▲ +0.4%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 2¢No 99¢

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

11 outcomes
See all 11 outcomes

Total volume

$14.4K

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$5.4K

1m vol.

$9.1K

Liquidity

$3.1K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 2¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 12, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$66
0¢$1,880
0¢$8,947
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$134
1¢$14
2¢$14
3¢$12
4¢$94
4¢$42
4¢$349
10¢$114
10¢$52
14¢$95

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoSell0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢7
1 mo. agoBuy0¢7
1 mo. agoBuy100¢88
1 mo. agoBuy0¢88
1 mo. agoBuy100¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20
1 mo. agoBuy100¢10
1 mo. agoBuy0¢10
1 mo. agoBuy100¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢2
1 mo. agoBuy0¢2
1 mo. agoSell0¢35
1 mo. agoBuy0¢35
1 mo. agoBuy100¢15
1 mo. agoBuy0¢15
1 mo. agoBuy100¢190
1 mo. agoBuy0¢190
1 mo. agoBuy100¢65
1 mo. agoBuy0¢65
1 mo. agoBuy100¢85
1 mo. agoBuy0¢85
1 mo. agoBuy100¢41
1 mo. agoBuy0¢41
1 mo. agoBuy100¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy100¢55
1 mo. agoBuy0¢55
1 mo. agoBuy100¢51
1 mo. agoBuy0¢51
1 mo. agoBuy100¢550
1 mo. agoBuy0¢343
1 mo. agoBuy0¢207
1 mo. agoBuy100¢450
1 mo. agoBuy0¢73
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢327
1 mo. agoBuy100¢45
1 mo. agoBuy0¢24
1 mo. agoBuy0¢21
1 mo. agoBuy100¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy100¢50
1 mo. agoBuy0¢50
1 mo. agoBuy100¢20
1 mo. agoBuy0¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.