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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?
1 %
chance
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
11 outcomesTotal volume
$12.1K
24h vol.
$122.944
1w vol.
$982.737
1m vol.
$5.7K
Liquidity
$2.1K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 1¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Aug 12, 2026
End date
Oct 31, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 107 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 190 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 190 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 41 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 51 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 51 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 550 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 127 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 423 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 45 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 285 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 285 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 450 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 450 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 47 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 450 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 450 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 55 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 85 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 85 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.