← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 7 min. ago
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?
34 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 2.1 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 28% on Oct 25, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 22 buys, 28 sells; the largest was $305 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 mo. (Nov 29, 2026).
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Total volume
$1.1M
24h vol.
$107.7K
1w vol.
$309.6K
1m vol.
$890K
Liquidity
$136.5K
Bid / Ask
33¢ / 34¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
33¢
Start date
Aug 14, 2026
End date
Nov 29, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 164 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 23.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 min. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 60 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 29 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 29 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 264 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 49 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 60 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 108 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 400 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 180 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 160 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 450 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 57 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 124 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 179 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 48 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 31 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 31 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 35 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 66 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 32¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 3 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 13 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 20 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 32¢ | 30 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 100 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 400 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 15 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 50 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 35¢ | 11 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 33¢ | 12 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 115 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 5 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 19 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 5 |
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