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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Politics
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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Presidential Election Winner 2028

50 outcomes
See all 50 outcomes

Total volume

$27.3M

24h vol.

$4.3K

1w vol.

$31.3K

1m vol.

$161.5K

Liquidity

$1.7M

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 8, 2028

ends in 2 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 436 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$524,546
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$900,746
0¢$21
0¢$5
1¢$5,555
1¢$139,881
1¢$127,216
1¢$62,203
1¢$37,675
1¢$215
2¢$550

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 46%Sells 54%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell100¢11
3 wk. agoSell0¢11
3 wk. agoBuy100¢11
3 wk. agoBuy0¢11
3 wk. agoSell100¢9
3 wk. agoSell0¢9
3 wk. agoBuy100¢9
3 wk. agoBuy0¢9
3 wk. agoSell100¢5
3 wk. agoSell0¢5
3 wk. agoBuy100¢5
3 wk. agoBuy0¢5
3 wk. agoSell100¢7
3 wk. agoSell0¢7
3 wk. agoBuy100¢7
3 wk. agoBuy0¢7
3 wk. agoSell100¢7
3 wk. agoSell0¢7
3 wk. agoBuy100¢7
3 wk. agoBuy0¢7
3 wk. agoSell100¢8
3 wk. agoSell0¢8
3 wk. agoBuy100¢8
3 wk. agoBuy0¢8
3 wk. agoSell100¢9
3 wk. agoSell0¢9
3 wk. agoBuy100¢9
3 wk. agoBuy0¢9
3 wk. agoSell100¢8
3 wk. agoSell0¢8
3 wk. agoBuy100¢8
3 wk. agoBuy0¢8
3 wk. agoSell100¢18
3 wk. agoSell0¢18
3 wk. agoSell100¢7
3 wk. agoSell0¢7
3 wk. agoBuy100¢7
3 wk. agoBuy0¢7
3 wk. agoSell100¢6
3 wk. agoSell0¢6
3 wk. agoBuy100¢6
3 wk. agoBuy0¢6
3 wk. agoSell100¢11
3 wk. agoSell0¢11
3 wk. agoBuy100¢11
3 wk. agoBuy0¢11
3 wk. agoSell100¢8
3 wk. agoSell0¢8
3 wk. agoBuy100¢8
3 wk. agoBuy0¢8

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.