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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $810 in October?

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3 %

chance

▲ +0.4%1h▲ +0.4%24h▼ −7.4%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$11.4K

24h vol.

$74.84

1w vol.

$3.3K

1m vol.

$11.4K

Liquidity

$14.6K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

4¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 7¢
Bids (buy)Size
7¢$180
3¢$17
2¢$608
1¢$260
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$155
20¢$70
21¢$600
96¢$21
97¢$1,000
98¢$6
99¢$82

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (3)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy89¢71
3 wk. agoBuy10¢21
3 wk. agoBuy11¢50

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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