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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?

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3 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +0.1%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 3¢No 97¢

Total volume

$4.8K

24h vol.

$275.085

1w vol.

$1.5K

1m vol.

$4.8K

Liquidity

$14.1K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 4¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 13¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$25
9¢$70
8¢$70
7¢$60
6¢$10
5¢$640
4¢$5
3¢$71
2¢$43
1¢$71
Asks (sell)Size
23¢$800
75¢$365
76¢$30
90¢$5
91¢$40
98¢$22
99¢$80

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (2)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy86¢1,000
3 wk. agoBuy14¢1,000

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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