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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in October?

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2 %

chance

▲ +0.1%1h▼ −3.1%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Total volume

$11.3K

24h vol.

$328

1w vol.

$4K

1m vol.

$11.3K

Liquidity

$14.2K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 3¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

3¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 18¢
Bids (buy)Size
10¢$50
9¢$605
8¢$20
7¢$27
6¢$20
4¢$10
3¢$15
2¢$76
1¢$75
Asks (sell)Size
28¢$56
29¢$400
80¢$5
83¢$20
91¢$6
92¢$20
93¢$10
94¢$24
95¢$40
98¢$5

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (4)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy89¢5
3 wk. agoBuy11¢5
3 wk. agoBuy89¢45
3 wk. agoBuy11¢45

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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