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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?

Economy
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35 %

chance

▼ −5.0%1h▼ −27.0%24h▲ +10.5%1W
Yes 35¢No 65¢

Total volume

$19.9K

24h vol.

$1.6K

1w vol.

$11.5K

1m vol.

$19.9K

Liquidity

$15.4K

Bid / Ask

34¢ / 36¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

43¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 183 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 50.8% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.7%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 6¢
Bids (buy)Size
60¢$520
59¢$338
43¢$20
40¢$600
23¢$10
22¢$1,374
21¢$9,524
15¢$5
14¢$1,786
11¢$17,273
Asks (sell)Size
66¢$318
67¢$200
70¢$400
71¢$31
84¢$200
93¢$6
95¢$600
98¢$18
99¢$71

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 84%Sells 16%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy69¢1
3 wk. agoBuy31¢1
3 wk. agoBuy68¢10
3 wk. agoBuy32¢10
3 wk. agoBuy69¢1
3 wk. agoBuy31¢1
3 wk. agoBuy68¢10
3 wk. agoBuy32¢10
3 wk. agoSell31¢20
3 wk. agoSell69¢20
3 wk. agoBuy68¢1
3 wk. agoBuy32¢1
3 wk. agoBuy38¢3
3 wk. agoBuy62¢3
3 wk. agoBuy36¢3
3 wk. agoBuy64¢3
3 wk. agoBuy33¢20
3 wk. agoBuy67¢20
3 wk. agoBuy32¢61
3 wk. agoBuy68¢20
3 wk. agoSell32¢41
3 wk. agoBuy75¢10
3 wk. agoSell75¢10
3 wk. agoBuy73¢100
3 wk. agoBuy27¢100
3 wk. agoBuy71¢41
3 wk. agoBuy29¢41
3 wk. agoBuy30¢20
3 wk. agoSell30¢20
3 wk. agoBuy29¢30
3 wk. agoSell29¢30
3 wk. agoBuy71¢20
3 wk. agoBuy29¢20
3 wk. agoSell65¢30
3 wk. agoBuy65¢30
3 wk. agoBuy65¢20
3 wk. agoBuy35¢20
3 wk. agoSell58¢51
3 wk. agoBuy58¢51
3 wk. agoBuy41¢100
3 wk. agoBuy59¢49
3 wk. agoBuy59¢51
3 wk. agoBuy56¢25
3 wk. agoBuy44¢5
3 wk. agoSell56¢20
3 wk. agoSell52¢20
3 wk. agoBuy52¢20
3 wk. agoBuy43¢274
3 wk. agoBuy57¢144
3 wk. agoBuy57¢20

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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