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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?

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9 %

chance

▲ +0.8%1h▲ +4.7%24h▼ −26.4%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Total volume

$17.5K

24h vol.

$3.1K

1w vol.

$9.7K

1m vol.

$17.5K

Liquidity

$14.5K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 11¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

8¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 30¢
Bids (buy)Size
16¢$400
15¢$800
6¢$5
5¢$15
4¢$136
3¢$230
2¢$10
1¢$81
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$7
49¢$14
50¢$600
85¢$186
86¢$311
93¢$11
94¢$38
98¢$12
99¢$76

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Recent trades (3)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy81¢21
3 wk. agoBuy19¢14
3 wk. agoBuy19¢7

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