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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?
9 %
chance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$17.5K
24h vol.
$3.1K
1w vol.
$9.7K
1m vol.
$17.5K
Liquidity
$14.5K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 11¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
8¢
Start date
Sep 25, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 30¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (3)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 81¢ | 21 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 14 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 7 |
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