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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in October?
14 %
chance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$12.4K
24h vol.
$2.5K
1w vol.
$6.1K
1m vol.
$12.4K
Liquidity
$15.1K
Bid / Ask
13¢ / 15¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
15¢
Start date
Sep 25, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 35¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 82¢ | 10 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 10 |
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