← Dashboard · Crypto
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October?
24 %
chance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?
15 outcomesTotal volume
$17.4K
24h vol.
$3.3K
1w vol.
$10.3K
1m vol.
$17.4K
Liquidity
$16.7K
Bid / Ask
23¢ / 25¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
28¢
Start date
Sep 25, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 25¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (2)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 67¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 33¢ | 18 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Crypto markets from other events.