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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?

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18 %

chance

▼ −2.5%1h▼ −14.5%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 18¢No 83¢

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

15 outcomes

Total volume

$17.7K

24h vol.

$749.114

1w vol.

$11.2K

1m vol.

$17.7K

Liquidity

$16.5K

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 19¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

19¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 220 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.5% resolved YES. Their average price was 23.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 9¢
Bids (buy)Size
37¢$500
36¢$205
32¢$20
31¢$200
28¢$600
27¢$20
15¢$20
11¢$15,455
7¢$6
6¢$31,667
Asks (sell)Size
46¢$30
47¢$50
48¢$80
50¢$400
51¢$714
60¢$200
72¢$600
82¢$1,667
86¢$13,929
90¢$19,000

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✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy51¢120
3 wk. agoSell51¢40
3 wk. agoBuy49¢50
3 wk. agoSell51¢30
3 wk. agoBuy49¢9
3 wk. agoBuy51¢9
3 wk. agoBuy53¢116
3 wk. agoBuy47¢116
3 wk. agoBuy51¢137
3 wk. agoBuy49¢137
3 wk. agoBuy51¢137
3 wk. agoBuy49¢137
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢30
3 wk. agoBuy50¢30
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy50¢20
3 wk. agoBuy49¢40
3 wk. agoBuy51¢20
3 wk. agoSell49¢20
3 wk. agoSell39¢20
3 wk. agoBuy39¢20
3 wk. agoBuy62¢20
3 wk. agoBuy38¢20
3 wk. agoBuy61¢20
3 wk. agoBuy39¢20
3 wk. agoBuy59¢100
3 wk. agoSell59¢100
3 wk. agoBuy59¢40
3 wk. agoSell59¢40
3 wk. agoBuy59¢500
3 wk. agoSell59¢250
3 wk. agoBuy41¢175
3 wk. agoBuy41¢35
3 wk. agoBuy41¢20
3 wk. agoBuy41¢20
3 wk. agoBuy36¢41
3 wk. agoBuy64¢41
3 wk. agoBuy36¢145
3 wk. agoBuy64¢145
3 wk. agoBuy35¢20
3 wk. agoBuy65¢20
3 wk. agoBuy35¢132
3 wk. agoBuy65¢132
3 wk. agoSell62¢55
3 wk. agoBuy62¢55
3 wk. agoSell62¢60
3 wk. agoBuy62¢41
3 wk. agoSell38¢19

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