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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in October?

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8 %

chance

▲ +2.5%1h▼ −2.1%24h▲ +2.7%1W
Yes 8¢No 92¢

Total volume

$9.3K

24h vol.

$3.6K

1w vol.

$6.2K

1m vol.

$9.3K

Liquidity

$16K

Bid / Ask

7¢ / 10¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Sep 25, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 23¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$800
11¢$800
5¢$15
4¢$129
3¢$247
2¢$15
1¢$74
Asks (sell)Size
35¢$18
36¢$600
39¢$5
88¢$292
89¢$487
98¢$30
99¢$117

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (3)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoBuy87¢23
3 wk. agoBuy13¢18
3 wk. agoBuy13¢5

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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