Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?

Market brief

• Down 53.2 pp over the past week (−70.7 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 70% on Oct 28, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 20 buys, 30 sells; the largest was $400 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 1% of Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (160 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 1, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 160 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 0.6% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

Related markets

The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.

• Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?1 %▼ −1.4%
• Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?0 %▼ −0.3%
• Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?8 %▼ −2.0%
• Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?20 %▲ +13.8%
• Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?86 %▲ +4.0%
• Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?95 %▼ −0.9%

Keep exploring