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Updated 30 min. ago
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Politics
67 %
chance
▼ −5.5%1h▲ +34.5%24h▲ +35.0%1W
Yes 67¢No 33¢
Market brief
- Up 35.0 pp over the past week (+34.5 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 16% on Oct 25, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 16 buys, 34 sells; the largest was $648 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- The scheduled end date has passed; the result is still pending.
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Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$75.3K
24h vol.
$62.9K
1w vol.
$74.3K
1m vol.
$75.3K
Liquidity
$33.8K
Bid / Ask
66¢ / 68¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
72¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends 2 min. ago
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- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Bids (buy)Size
66¢$3,510
65¢$1,044
64¢$45
62¢$439
61¢$20
58¢$200
57¢$30
55¢$186
50¢$13
49¢$1,000
Asks (sell)Size
69¢$43
70¢$99
71¢$48
72¢$82
73¢$125
74¢$136
75¢$10
76¢$70
77¢$77
78¢$83
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
Buys 34%Sells 66%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 min. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 1 |
| 36 min. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 40 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 51 |
| 42 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 22 |
| 44 min. ago | Sell | 66¢ | 22 |
| 55 min. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 18 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 30 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 220 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 450 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 400 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 185 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 72¢ | 115 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 7 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 13 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 109 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 9 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 75¢ | 13 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 11 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 71¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 24 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 74¢ | 20 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 900 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 73¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 72¢ | 341 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 69¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 100 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 1,168 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 202 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 73¢ | 40 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 30 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 128 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 70¢ | 20 |
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