← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Yair Golan receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?
Politics
0 %
chance
▲ +0.0%24h▼ −2.4%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢
Market brief
- Last 49 trades: 44 buys, 5 sells; the largest was $49 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- The scheduled end date has passed; the result is still pending.
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
uses 1 credit
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?
19 outcomesTotal volume
$966.062
24h vol.
$394.172
1w vol.
$394.172
1m vol.
$394.172
Liquidity
$13.2K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 19, 2026
End date
Oct 28, 2026
ends 2 min. ago
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Bids (buy)Size
0¢$45
0¢$240
0¢$415
0¢$121
Asks (sell)Size
8¢$245
11¢$15
11¢$15
11¢$16
14¢$10
18¢$86
18¢$75
19¢$20
19¢$75
21¢$75
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (49)
Buys 86%Sells 14%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 26 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 26 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 18 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 18 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 30 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 40 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 15 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 19 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 21 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 56 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 56 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?46 %▲ +19.0%
- Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?99 %▲ +69.7%
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?96 %▲ +1.8%
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?6 %▼ −3.8%
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?0 %▲ +0.3%
- France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?7 %▼ −3.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.