Netanyahu out by June 30, 2027?

Market brief

• Down 34.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 86% on Oct 26, 2026.
• Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 8 mo. (Jul 1, 2027).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 164 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 23.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.

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