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Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
19 %
chance
Market brief
- Down 22.0 pp over the past week (−23.0 pp in the last 24 hours), after touching 45% on Oct 27, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 25 buys, 25 sells; the largest was $1.32K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 23% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before the end resolved YES (164 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 2 mo. (Jan 1, 2027).
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Netanyahu out by...?
3 outcomes- June 30, 202733 %
- March 31, 202728 %
- December 3119 %
Total volume
$2.9M
24h vol.
$112.5K
1w vol.
$161.2K
1m vol.
$357K
Liquidity
$63.4K
Bid / Ask
18¢ / 19¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
17¢
Start date
Jul 24, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 164 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 23.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34 min. ago | Buy | 19¢ | 166 |
| 37 min. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 39 min. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 50 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 172 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 5 |
| 1 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 2 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 7 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 88 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 600 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 157 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 923 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 401 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 10 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 18¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 6 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 117 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 17¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 235 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 57 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 117 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 7 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 20¢ | 50 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 45 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 99 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 20¢ | 1,652 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 19¢ | 164 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 187 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 18¢ | 1,002 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 183 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 5 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 9 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 22¢ | 15 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 21¢ | 361 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 22 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 9 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 54 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 327 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 138 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 22¢ | 239 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 25¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 23¢ | 91 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 24¢ | 294 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 2 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 25¢ | 218 |
| 5 hr. ago | Sell | 27¢ | 873 |
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