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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$534.3K

24h vol.

$78.885

1w vol.

$4.3K

1m vol.

$23.9K

Liquidity

$59.7K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Mar 2, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$318
0¢$100
0¢$1,053
0¢$15,033
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$437
1¢$480
2¢$4,925
2¢$10,000
2¢$4,186
4¢$20
5¢$20
7¢$285
7¢$725
7¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 90%Sells 10%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell99¢173
3 wk. agoSell1¢173
3 wk. agoBuy100¢2
3 wk. agoBuy0¢2
3 wk. agoBuy100¢450
3 wk. agoBuy0¢450
3 wk. agoBuy100¢37
3 wk. agoBuy0¢37
3 wk. agoBuy100¢300
3 wk. agoBuy0¢300
3 wk. agoBuy100¢120
3 wk. agoBuy0¢100
3 wk. agoBuy0¢20
3 wk. agoBuy100¢211
3 wk. agoBuy0¢211
3 wk. agoBuy100¢200
3 wk. agoBuy0¢200
3 wk. agoBuy100¢80
3 wk. agoBuy0¢80
3 wk. agoBuy100¢550
3 wk. agoBuy0¢130
3 wk. agoBuy0¢420
3 wk. agoBuy100¢450
3 wk. agoBuy0¢21
3 wk. agoBuy0¢429
3 wk. agoBuy100¢25
3 wk. agoBuy0¢25
3 wk. agoBuy100¢5
3 wk. agoBuy0¢5
3 wk. agoBuy100¢211
3 wk. agoBuy0¢211
3 wk. agoBuy100¢300
3 wk. agoBuy0¢300
3 wk. agoBuy100¢80
3 wk. agoBuy0¢80
3 wk. agoSell0¢200
3 wk. agoBuy0¢200
3 wk. agoBuy100¢26
3 wk. agoBuy0¢26
3 wk. agoSell0¢20
3 wk. agoBuy0¢20
3 wk. agoBuy100¢25
3 wk. agoBuy0¢25
3 wk. agoBuy100¢52
3 wk. agoBuy0¢52
3 wk. agoBuy100¢26
3 wk. agoBuy0¢26
3 wk. agoSell99¢8
3 wk. agoSell1¢8
3 wk. agoSell99¢150

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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