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Updated 6 days ago

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$902.9K

24h vol.

$88.529

1w vol.

$34.1K

1m vol.

$59.7K

Liquidity

$44.1K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Mar 2, 2027

ends in 4 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$4,734
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$873
0¢$2,366
0¢$2,121
1¢$500
1¢$372
1¢$8,400
1¢$200
1¢$320
1¢$200
1¢$156

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 days agoSell0¢106
6 days agoBuy0¢106
7 days agoSell0¢135
7 days agoBuy0¢135
7 days agoSell0¢5
7 days agoBuy0¢5
7 days agoSell0¢170
7 days agoBuy0¢170
7 days agoBuy0¢78
7 days agoSell0¢78
7 days agoBuy0¢33,000
7 days agoSell0¢178
7 days agoSell0¢1,112
7 days agoSell0¢96
7 days agoSell0¢3,000
7 days agoSell0¢72
7 days agoSell0¢5
7 days agoSell0¢1,930
7 days agoSell0¢5,254
7 days agoSell0¢20,000
7 days agoSell0¢1,000
7 days agoSell0¢353
2 wk. agoSell0¢153
2 wk. agoBuy0¢153
2 wk. agoBuy100¢50
2 wk. agoBuy0¢50
2 wk. agoBuy100¢42
2 wk. agoBuy0¢42
2 wk. agoBuy100¢255
2 wk. agoBuy0¢255
2 wk. agoBuy100¢3
2 wk. agoBuy0¢3
2 wk. agoBuy100¢13
2 wk. agoBuy0¢13
2 wk. agoBuy100¢34
2 wk. agoBuy0¢34
2 wk. agoBuy100¢40
2 wk. agoBuy0¢22
2 wk. agoBuy0¢18
2 wk. agoBuy100¢10
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10
2 wk. agoBuy100¢30
2 wk. agoBuy0¢30
2 wk. agoBuy100¢120
2 wk. agoBuy0¢120
2 wk. agoBuy100¢60
2 wk. agoBuy0¢60
2 wk. agoBuy100¢200
2 wk. agoBuy0¢200
2 wk. agoBuy100¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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