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Updated 2 wk. ago

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?

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0 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

6 outcomes
See all 6 outcomes

Total volume

$604.8K

24h vol.

$5

1w vol.

$162.76

1m vol.

$45.6K

Liquidity

$24.3K

Bid / Ask

0¢ / 0¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$8,986
Asks (sell)Size
0¢$4,201
1¢$500
1¢$111
1¢$50
1¢$156
2¢$587
2¢$50
3¢$40
3¢$2,000
3¢$203

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 52%Sells 48%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 wk. agoBuy100¢28
2 wk. agoBuy0¢28
2 wk. agoBuy100¢295
2 wk. agoBuy0¢131
2 wk. agoBuy0¢150
2 wk. agoBuy0¢6
2 wk. agoBuy0¢8
2 wk. agoBuy100¢50
2 wk. agoBuy0¢50
2 wk. agoBuy100¢42
2 wk. agoBuy0¢42
2 wk. agoBuy100¢255
2 wk. agoBuy0¢91
2 wk. agoBuy0¢164
2 wk. agoBuy100¢3
2 wk. agoBuy0¢3
2 wk. agoBuy100¢13
2 wk. agoBuy0¢13
2 wk. agoBuy100¢40
2 wk. agoBuy0¢40
2 wk. agoBuy100¢34
2 wk. agoBuy0¢34
2 wk. agoBuy100¢10
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10
2 wk. agoBuy100¢30
2 wk. agoBuy0¢30
2 wk. agoBuy100¢120
2 wk. agoBuy0¢120
2 wk. agoBuy100¢60
2 wk. agoBuy0¢60
2 wk. agoBuy100¢200
2 wk. agoBuy0¢200
2 wk. agoBuy100¢10
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10
2 wk. agoBuy100¢20
2 wk. agoBuy0¢20
2 wk. agoBuy100¢20
2 wk. agoBuy0¢20
2 wk. agoSell0¢30
2 wk. agoBuy0¢30
2 wk. agoSell0¢40,765
2 wk. agoBuy0¢40,765
2 wk. agoBuy100¢249
2 wk. agoBuy0¢249
2 wk. agoBuy100¢10
2 wk. agoBuy0¢10
2 wk. agoBuy100¢173
2 wk. agoBuy0¢173
2 wk. agoBuy100¢30
2 wk. agoBuy0¢30

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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