Skip to content

← Politics odds

Updated 36 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

34 %

chance

▲ +4.7%1h▲ +24.8%24h▲ +27.9%1W
Yes 34¢No 66¢
Watch this market

Market brief

  • Up 27.9 pp over the past week (+24.8 pp in the last 24 hours), after dipping to 1% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 34 buys, 16 sells; the largest was $212 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (162 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 2 days (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

◆ Your call

What's your number?

Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.

50%
Saved in this browser only. No account needed.

Result by email

Find out how it ends

One email when this market resolves. No account needed.

We send a confirmation link first. After the result email, we delete your address. Privacy

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

Request analysisPart of every plan · 7 days for $3

Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?

22 outcomes
See all 22 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$65.1K

24h vol.

$32.6K

Liquidity

$7.3K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 2 days

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$64.6K

Bid / Ask

34¢ / 34¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

34¢

Start date

Nov 3, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
33¢$11
32¢$5
32¢$6
32¢$10
32¢$20
32¢$78
31¢$1,092
31¢$19
31¢$11
31¢$208
Asks (sell)Size
33¢$12
33¢$37
33¢$100
34¢$7
34¢$50
34¢$6
34¢$100
34¢$1,216
34¢$184
34¢$27

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 78%Sells 22%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
37 min. agoSell33¢7
43 min. agoBuy33¢31
44 min. agoSell33¢33
44 min. agoBuy33¢6
45 min. agoBuy32¢81
49 min. agoBuy32¢87
53 min. agoBuy31¢6
57 min. agoBuy30¢6
1 hr. agoBuy30¢21
1 hr. agoBuy30¢322
1 hr. agoBuy29¢5
1 hr. agoBuy28¢9
1 hr. agoBuy28¢7
1 hr. agoBuy28¢12
1 hr. agoBuy28¢20
1 hr. agoBuy28¢5
1 hr. agoSell28¢10
1 hr. agoBuy28¢10
1 hr. agoBuy28¢10
1 hr. agoSell27¢10
1 hr. agoSell27¢16
1 hr. agoBuy28¢12
1 hr. agoSell28¢60
1 hr. agoBuy28¢34
1 hr. agoSell29¢7
1 hr. agoSell29¢15
1 hr. agoSell29¢40
1 hr. agoSell29¢1
1 hr. agoBuy30¢10
1 hr. agoBuy30¢6
1 hr. agoBuy30¢7
1 hr. agoBuy28¢110
1 hr. agoSell27¢100
1 hr. agoSell29¢100
1 hr. agoSell30¢10
1 hr. agoSell30¢10
1 hr. agoSell31¢18
1 hr. agoBuy32¢11
2 hr. agoSell33¢5
2 hr. agoBuy33¢644
2 hr. agoBuy33¢6
2 hr. agoBuy32¢5
2 hr. agoBuy32¢6
2 hr. agoBuy32¢7
2 hr. agoBuy32¢5
2 hr. agoBuy32¢20
2 hr. agoBuy32¢5
2 hr. agoBuy32¢6
2 hr. agoBuy32¢5
2 hr. agoBuy32¢5
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 6 12:00 PM ET to November 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 6 - November 13, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

Related markets

Open Politics markets from other events — closest to this one first.

Keep exploring

Moving today

Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.

Daily Forecast ChallengeThree real markets, one guess each — then see how you compare to the crowd and the AI.

More around this market