Sports · Venue comparison
NBA odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks
Every NBA game in the next three days that has a Polymarket or Kalshi market and a winner price from licensed US sportsbooks.
Sportsbook odds read 1 hr. ago.
How prediction markets and sportsbooks differ
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the largest gap per game and where each side is cheapest — sorted so the biggest disagreements come first.
Create an accountSorted by start time.
| Game | Exchange price | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit Pistons at Washington WizardsNBA · | Polymarket: DET 79.5 % · WSH 20.5 % | 7 |
| Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ersNBA · | Polymarket: TOR 25.5 % · PHI 74.5 % | 7 |
| Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota TimberwolvesNBA · | Polymarket: DAL 32.5 % · MIN 67.5 % | 7 |
| Charlotte Hornets at Phoenix SunsNBA · | Polymarket: CHA 33.5 % · PHX 66.5 % | 7 |
Exchange prices are what traders pay before the venue's fee. Sportsbook odds include the book's margin; "fair" removes it proportionally. Best price is the lowest cost per $1 of payout. Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.
NBA Finals odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks
What traders pay for each team on Polymarket and Kalshi, next to licensed US sportsbooks. A gap is not a signal on its own, but it is worth a look.
As of : for 14 of 14 teams, no Polymarket or Kalshi price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per team is 0.4 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' prices with their margin removed across the whole field. With this many outcomes that slightly overstates long shots, because books put more of their margin there. Teams priced below 2 % everywhere are left out of the count.
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the gap per team and where each team is cheapest.
Create an account| Team | Polymarket | Books |
|---|---|---|
| San Antonio Spurs | 22.5 % | 4 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 14.5 % | 4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 11.2 % | 4 |
| Boston Celtics | 7.5 % | 4 |
| New York Knicks | 7.5 % | 4 |
| Houston Rockets | 4.9 % | 4 |
| Toronto Raptors | 3.5 % | 4 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 6.3 % | 4 |
| Detroit Pistons | 4.0 % | 4 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 4.5 % | 4 |
| Denver Nuggets | 2.6 % | 4 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2.9 % | 4 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2.3 % | 4 |
| Golden State Warriors | 2.1 % | 4 |
| Indiana Pacers | 1.4 % | 4 |
| Miami Heat | 1.7 % | 4 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 1.1 % | 4 |
| Orlando Magic | 0.5 % | 4 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 0.7 % | 4 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 0.9 % | 4 |
| Phoenix Suns | 0.3 % | 4 |
| Washington Wizards | 0.4 % | 4 |
| Utah Jazz | 0.3 % | 4 |
| Chicago Bulls | 0.1 % | 4 |
| LA Clippers | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 0.1 % | 4 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Sacramento Kings | 0.1 % | 4 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 0.1 % | 4 |
Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.