Sports · Venue comparison
Nations League odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks
Every Nations League game in the next three days that has a Polymarket or Kalshi market and a winner price from licensed US sportsbooks.
Sportsbook odds read 1 hr. ago.
As of : in 16 of 23 games, no Polymarket or Kalshi winner price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per game is 2.3 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' winner prices with their margin removed; a gap is the difference in percentage points.
How prediction markets and sportsbooks differ
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the largest gap per game and where each side is cheapest — sorted so the biggest disagreements come first.
Create an accountSorted by start time.
| Game | Exchange price | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Cyprus at ArmeniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: CYP 40.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · ARM 29.5 % | 4 |
| Belarus at San MarinoUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: BLR 86.5 % · Draw 10.5 % · SMR 3.5 % | 2 |
| Croatia at EnglandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: CRO 8.5 % · Draw 15.5 % · ENG 76.5 % | 4 |
| Finland at AlbaniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FIN 23.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · ALB 44.5 % | 4 |
| Latvia at MontenegroUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: LVA 7.5 % · Draw 16.5 % · MNE 76.5 % | 4 |
| France at ItalyUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FRA 47.5 % · Draw 26.5 % · ITA 26.5 % | 4 |
| Kazakhstan at MoldovaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: KAZ 32.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · MDA 35.5 % | 4 |
| Iceland at BulgariaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: ISL 52.5 % · Draw 26.5 % · BUL 20.5 % | 4 |
| Estonia at LuxembourgUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: EST 26.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · LUX 42.5 % | 4 |
| Greece at NetherlandsUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GRE 16.5 % · Draw 21.5 % · NED 61.5 % | 4 |
| Switzerland at SloveniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: SUI 57.5 % · Draw 25.5 % · SVN 16.5 % | 4 |
| Gibraltar at AndorraUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GIB 15.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · AND 54.5 % | 4 |
| Germany at SerbiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GER 77.5 % · Draw 13.5 % · SRB 9.5 % | 4 |
| Faroe Islands at SlovakiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FRO 9.5 % · Draw 18.5 % · SVK 71.5 % | 4 |
| Azerbaijan at LiechtensteinUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: AZE 76.5 % · Draw 17.5 % · LIE 5.5 % | 4 |
| North Macedonia at ScotlandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: MKD 4.5 % · Draw 13.5 % · SCO 82.5 % | 4 |
| Israel at KosovoUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: ISR 21.5 % · Draw 25.5 % · KOS 53.5 % | 4 |
| Wales at NorwayUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: WAL 7.5 % · Draw 12.5 % · NOR 79.5 % | 4 |
| Hungary at GeorgiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: HUN 37.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · GEO 31.5 % | 4 |
| Republic of Ireland at AustriaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: IRL 16.0 % · Draw 22.5 % · AUT 61.5 % | 3 |
| Poland at RomaniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: POL 54.5 % · Draw 24.5 % · ROU 22.5 % | 4 |
| Ukraine at Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: UKR 30.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · NIR 39.5 % | 4 |
| Denmark at PortugalUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: DEN 15.5 % · Draw 19.5 % · POR 64.5 % | 4 |
Exchange prices are what traders pay before the venue's fee. Sportsbook odds include the book's margin; "fair" removes it proportionally. Best price is the lowest cost per $1 of payout. Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.