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College Football odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks
Every College Football game in the next three days that has a Polymarket or Kalshi market and a winner price from licensed US sportsbooks.
Sportsbook odds read 1 hr. ago.
As of : in 57 of 58 games, no Polymarket or Kalshi winner price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per game is 1.0 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' winner prices with their margin removed; a gap is the difference in percentage points.
How prediction markets and sportsbooks differ
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the largest gap per game and where each side is cheapest — sorted so the biggest disagreements come first.
Create an accountSorted by start time.
| Game | Exchange price | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Memphis Tigers at South Florida BullsCollege Football · | Polymarket: MEM 62.5 % · USF 37.5 % | 7 |
| Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh PanthersCollege Football · | Polymarket: FSU 38.5 % · PITT 61.5 % | 7 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA BruinsCollege Football · | Polymarket: ILL 22.5 % · UCLA 77.5 % | 7 |
| Houston Cougars at Colorado BuffaloesCollege Football · | Polymarket: HOU 76.5 % · COLO 23.5 % | 7 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU MustangsCollege Football · | Polymarket: WAKE 48.5 % | 7 |
| Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsCollege Football · | Polymarket: AUB 56.5 % · MSST 43.5 % | 7 |
| Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State BuckeyesCollege Football · | Polymarket: NU 17.5 % · OSU 82.5 % | 7 |
| Syracuse Orange at NC State WolfpackCollege Football · | Polymarket: SYR 57.5 % · NCSU 42.5 % | 7 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State CyclonesCollege Football · | Polymarket: CIN 42.5 % · ISU 57.5 % | 7 |
| James Madison Dukes at UConn HuskiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: JMU 63.5 % · CONN 36.5 % | 7 |
| Wisconsin Badgers at Maryland TerrapinsCollege Football · | Polymarket: WIS 74.5 % · MD 25.5 % | 7 |
| Duke Blue Devils at Miami HurricanesCollege Football · | Polymarket: DUKE 17.0 % · MIA 83.0 % | 7 |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson TigersCollege Football · | Polymarket: GT 17.0 % · CLEM 83.0 % | 7 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NEB 84.5 % · RUTG 15.5 % | 7 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt CommodoresCollege Football · | Polymarket: ALA 88.5 % · VAN 11.5 % | 7 |
| East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ersCollege Football · | Polymarket: ECU 80.5 % · CLT 19.5 % | 7 |
| UAB Blazers at Temple OwlsCollege Football · | Kalshi: TEM 54.5 % | 7 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCollege Football · | Polymarket: ARST 47.5 % · CCU 52.5 % | 7 |
| Tulane Green Wave at Rice OwlsCollege Football · | Polymarket: TULN 44.5 % · RICE 55.5 % | 7 |
| Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston BearkatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: KENN 72.0 % · SHSU 28.0 % | 7 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsCollege Football · | Kalshi: KSU 21.5 % | 7 |
| New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State BearsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NMSU 48.0 % · MOST 52.0 % | 7 |
| Florida International Panthers at Delaware Blue HensCollege Football · | Polymarket: FIU 35.0 % · DEL 65.0 % | 6 |
| Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M AggiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: TENN 56.5 % · TA&M 43.5 % | 7 |
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State PanthersCollege Football · | Polymarket: GASO 67.5 % · GAST 32.5 % | 7 |
| Baylor Bears at BYU CougarsCollege Football · | Kalshi: BAY 28.5 % | 7 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF KnightsCollege Football · | Kalshi: ASU 40.5 % | 7 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky HilltoppersCollege Football · | Polymarket: JXST 72.5 % · WKU 27.5 % | 7 |
| Florida Atlantic Owls at Tulsa Golden HurricaneCollege Football · | Polymarket: FAU 32.5 % · TLSA 67.5 % | 7 |
| Michigan Wolverines at Oregon DucksCollege Football · | Polymarket: MICH 21.5 % · ORE 78.5 % | 7 |
| Boston College Eagles at Notre Dame Fighting IrishCollege Football · | Polymarket: BC 2.7 % · ND 97.3 % | 6 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty FlamesCollege Football · | Polymarket: MTSU 7.5 % · LIB 92.5 % | 7 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois HuskiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: NEV 70.5 % · NIU 29.5 % | 7 |
| California Golden Bears at Virginia CavaliersCollege Football · | Polymarket: CAL 21.5 % · UVA 78.5 % | 7 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State BobcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: FRES 23.5 % · TXST 76.5 % | 7 |
| Ole Miss Rebels at Oklahoma SoonersCollege Football · | Polymarket: MISS 50.5 % · OU 49.5 % | 7 |
| Washington Huskies at Michigan State SpartansCollege Football · | Polymarket: WASH 60.5 % · MSU 39.5 % | 7 |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech BulldogsCollege Football · | Polymarket: USM 12.5 % · LT 87.5 % | 7 |
| Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia MountaineersCollege Football · | Polymarket: KU 43.5 % · WVU 56.5 % | 7 |
| App State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering HerdCollege Football · | Kalshi: MRSH 48.0 % | 7 |
| Oregon State Beavers at Boise State BroncosCollege Football · | Polymarket: ORST 15.5 % · BOIS 84.5 % | 7 |
| Florida Gators at Kentucky WildcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: FLA 40.5 % · UK 59.5 % | 7 |
| Troy Trojans at South Alabama JaguarsCollege Football · | Polymarket: TROY 41.5 % · USA 58.5 % | 7 |
| Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar HeelsCollege Football · | Polymarket: LOU 61.5 % · UNC 38.5 % | 7 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany LionsCollege Football · | Polymarket: MINN 24.5 % · PSU 75.5 % | 7 |
| San José State Spartans at Air Force FalconsCollege Football · | Polymarket: SJSU 19.5 % · AFA 80.5 % | 7 |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa HawkeyesCollege Football · | Polymarket: PUR 12.5 % · IOWA 87.5 % | 7 |
| Texas Longhorns at LSU TigersCollege Football · | Kalshi: TEX 38.0 % | 7 |
| Utah Utes at Arizona WildcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: UTAH 56.5 % · ARIZ 43.5 % | 7 |
| Stanford Cardinal at Virginia Tech HokiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: STAN 14.5 % · VT 85.5 % | 7 |
| UNLV Rebels at New Mexico LobosCollege Football · | Polymarket: UNLV 15.5 % · UNM 84.5 % | 7 |
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas RazorbacksCollege Football · | Polymarket: SC 72.5 % · ARK 27.5 % | 7 |
| North Texas Mean Green at UTSA RoadrunnersCollege Football · | Polymarket: UNT 53.5 % · UTSA 46.5 % | 7 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State CowboysCollege Football · | Polymarket: TTU 39.5 % · OKST 60.5 % | 7 |
| Utah State Aggies at San Diego State AztecsCollege Football · | Polymarket: USU 57.5 % · SDSU 42.5 % | 7 |
| Wyoming Cowboys at UTEP MinersCollege Football · | Polymarket: WYO 74.5 % · UTEP 25.5 % | 7 |
| Colorado State Rams at Washington State CougarsCollege Football · | Polymarket: CSU 24.5 % · WSU 75.5 % | 7 |
| North Dakota State Bison at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NDSU 69.5 % · HAW 30.5 % | 7 |
Exchange prices are what traders pay before the venue's fee. Sportsbook odds include the book's margin; "fair" removes it proportionally. Best price is the lowest cost per $1 of payout. Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.
College Football Playoff odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks
What traders pay for each team on Polymarket and Kalshi, next to licensed US sportsbooks. A gap is not a signal on its own, but it is worth a look.
As of : for 6 of 7 teams, no Polymarket or Kalshi price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per team is 1.1 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' prices with their margin removed across the whole field. With this many outcomes that slightly overstates long shots, because books put more of their margin there. Teams priced below 2 % everywhere are left out of the count.
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the gap per team and where each team is cheapest.
Create an account| Team | Polymarket | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Georgia Bulldogs | 29.5 % | 4 |
| Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 18.5 % | 4 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 11.5 % | 4 |
| Miami Hurricanes | 9.8 % | 4 |
| Indiana Hoosiers | 6.8 % | 4 |
| Texas Longhorns | 7.8 % | 4 |
| LSU Tigers | 2.5 % | 4 |
| Utah Utes | – | 4 |
| Tennessee Volunteers | – | 4 |
| UCLA Bruins | – | 4 |
| Ole Miss Rebels | – | 4 |
| Oregon Ducks | 1.8 % | 4 |
| USC Trojans | 1.1 % | 4 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons | – | 4 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.9 % | 4 |
| Florida Gators | 0.8 % | 1 |
| Kentucky Wildcats | – | 4 |
| South Carolina Gamecocks | – | 4 |
| Iowa Hawkeyes | – | 4 |
| BYU Cougars | – | 4 |
| Missouri Tigers | – | 4 |
| Boise State Broncos | – | 4 |
| Houston Cougars | – | 4 |
| SMU Mustangs | – | 4 |
| Arizona Wildcats | – | 4 |
| Baylor Bears | – | 4 |
| Louisville Cardinals | – | 4 |
| New Mexico Lobos | – | 4 |
| Oklahoma Sooners | 0.1 % | 3 |
| Wisconsin Badgers | – | 3 |
| Northwestern Wildcats | – | 2 |
| Duke Blue Devils | – | 4 |
10 more teams further down the field are not shown.
Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.