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Prediction markets vs sportsbooks

Sports · Venue comparison

NFL odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks

Every NFL game in the next three days that has a Polymarket or Kalshi market and a winner price from licensed US sportsbooks.

NFL odds & schedule

Sportsbook odds read 1 hr. ago.

How prediction markets and sportsbooks differ

Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+

The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the largest gap per game and where each side is cheapest — sorted so the biggest disagreements come first.

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Sorted by start time.

Upcoming games with the exchange winner price, the number of sportsbooks and, on Pro+, the sportsbook consensus and the largest gap.
GameExchange priceBooks
Washington Commanders at New York GiantsNFL · Polymarket: WSH 45.5 % · NYG 54.5 %7
New England Patriots at Detroit LionsNFL · Polymarket: NE 41.5 % · DET 58.5 %7

Exchange prices are what traders pay before the venue's fee. Sportsbook odds include the book's margin; "fair" removes it proportionally. Best price is the lowest cost per $1 of payout. Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.

Super Bowl odds: Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbooks

What traders pay for each team on Polymarket and Kalshi, next to licensed US sportsbooks. A gap is not a signal on its own, but it is worth a look.

As of : for 15 of 15 teams, no Polymarket or Kalshi price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per team is 0.9 points.

Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' prices with their margin removed across the whole field. With this many outcomes that slightly overstates long shots, because books put more of their margin there. Teams priced below 2 % everywhere are left out of the count.

Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+

The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the gap per team and where each team is cheapest.

Create an account

Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.