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Sports · Venue comparison
Polymarket & Kalshi vs sportsbook odds
Every game in the next three days that has a Polymarket or Kalshi market and a winner price from licensed US sportsbooks. Open a game for the full table with every book, the margin and the fair value.
Sportsbook odds read 1 hr. ago.
As of : in 129 of 139 games, no Polymarket or Kalshi winner price is 3 points or more away from the no-vig consensus of licensed US sportsbooks. The median largest gap per game is 1.2 points.
Exchange prices are before the venue's fee. The consensus is the median of at least two sportsbooks' winner prices with their margin removed; a gap is the difference in percentage points.
How prediction markets and sportsbooks differ
Consensus and gaps are part of Pro+
The sportsbook consensus without the margin, the largest gap per game and where each side is cheapest — sorted so the biggest disagreements come first.
Create an accountSorted by start time.
| Game | Exchange price | Books |
|---|---|---|
| Carolina Hurricanes at Seattle KrakenNHL · | Polymarket: CAR 72.5 % · SEA 27.5 % | 7 |
| Cyprus at ArmeniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: CYP 40.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · ARM 29.5 % | 4 |
| Belarus at San MarinoUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: BLR 86.5 % · Draw 10.5 % · SMR 3.5 % | 2 |
| Croatia at EnglandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: CRO 8.5 % · Draw 15.5 % · ENG 76.5 % | 4 |
| Finland at AlbaniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FIN 23.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · ALB 44.5 % | 4 |
| Latvia at MontenegroUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: LVA 7.5 % · Draw 16.5 % · MNE 76.5 % | 4 |
| France at ItalyUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FRA 47.5 % · Draw 26.5 % · ITA 26.5 % | 4 |
| Marta Kostyuk vs Coco GauffATP & WTA Tennis · | Polymarket: Marta Kostyuk 26.5 % · Coco Gauff 73.5 % | 7 |
| Jessica Pegula vs Linda NoskovaATP & WTA Tennis · | Polymarket: Jessica Pegula 46.5 % · Linda Noskova 53.5 % | 7 |
| Morgan State Bears at UMBC RetrieversCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: MORG 29.5 % · UMBC 70.5 % | 6 |
| Bradley Braves at Coppin State EaglesCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: BRAD 86.0 % · COPP 14.0 % | 6 |
| Mercyhurst Lakers at Penn State Nittany LionsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: MERC 4.0 % · PSU 96.0 % | 5 |
| Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Indiana HoosiersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: TNTC 1.9 % · IU 98.0 % | 5 |
| Washington Capitals at New Jersey DevilsNHL · | Polymarket: WSH 41.5 % · NJ 58.5 % | 7 |
| Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa SenatorsNHL · | Polymarket: COL 51.5 % · OTT 48.5 % | 7 |
| Detroit Pistons at Washington WizardsNBA · | Polymarket: DET 79.5 % · WSH 20.5 % | 7 |
| Canisius Golden Griffins at Brown BearsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: CAN 11.0 % · BRWN 89.0 % | 7 |
| Central Connecticut Blue Devils at Sacred Heart PioneersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: CCSU 33.5 % · SHU 66.5 % | 7 |
| Montreal Canadiens at Boston BruinsNHL · | Polymarket: MTL 46.5 % · BOS 53.5 % | 7 |
| Mercer Bears at West Virginia MountaineersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: MER 2.0 % · WVU 98.0 % | 3 |
| Stetson Hatters at Howard BisonCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: STET 17.0 % · HOW 83.0 % | 7 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles at Bowling Green FalconsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: NIA 8.5 % · BGSU 91.5 % | 7 |
| Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ersNBA · | Polymarket: TOR 25.5 % · PHI 74.5 % | 7 |
| Southern Utah Thunderbirds at High Point PanthersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: SUU 4.0 % · HPU 96.0 % | 5 |
| Minnesota Wild at Toronto Maple LeafsNHL · | Polymarket: MIN 62.5 % · TOR 37.5 % | 7 |
| Western Michigan Broncos at Purdue Fort Wayne MastodonsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: WMU 61.0 % · PFW 39.0 % | 7 |
| Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Towson TigersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: L-MD 10.0 % · TOW 90.0 % | 7 |
| Monmouth Hawks at Quinnipiac BobcatsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: MONM 50.5 % · QUIN 49.5 % | 7 |
| Tampa Bay Lightning at Columbus Blue JacketsNHL · | Polymarket: TB 50.5 % · CBJ 49.5 % | 7 |
| Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks at Rhode Island RamsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: UMES 2.9 % · URI 97.2 % | 4 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners at Western Illinois LeathernecksCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: CSUB 79.5 % · WIU 20.5 % | 6 |
| Detroit Red Wings at Florida PanthersNHL · | Polymarket: DET 38.5 % · FLA 61.5 % | 7 |
| Loyola Marymount Lions at South Alabama JaguarsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: LMU 49.0 % · USA 51.0 % | 7 |
| Southern Jaguars at Minnesota Golden GophersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: SOU 2.6 % · MINN 97.4 % | 6 |
| Memphis Tigers at South Florida BullsCollege Football · | Polymarket: MEM 62.5 % · USF 37.5 % | 7 |
| Richmond Spiders at Southern Illinois SalukisCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: RICH 60.5 % · SIU 39.5 % | 6 |
| Winnipeg Jets at Dallas StarsNHL · | Polymarket: WPG 39.5 % · DAL 60.5 % | 7 |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas A&M AggiesCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: OKST 24.5 % · TA&M 75.5 % | 7 |
| West Florida Argonauts at Alabama A&M BulldogsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: UWF 26.5 % · AAMU 73.5 % | 5 |
| Buffalo Sabres at Chicago BlackhawksNHL · | Polymarket: BUF 58.5 % · CHI 41.5 % | 7 |
| Dallas Mavericks at Minnesota TimberwolvesNBA · | Polymarket: DAL 32.5 % · MIN 67.5 % | 7 |
| Washington Commanders at New York GiantsNFL · | Polymarket: WSH 45.5 % · NYG 54.5 % | 7 |
| New Mexico State Aggies at UTEP MinersCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: NMSU 34.5 % · UTEP 65.5 % | 7 |
| Montana State Bobcats at BYU CougarsCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: MTST 3.5 % · BYU 96.5 % | 5 |
| Charlotte Hornets at Phoenix SunsNBA · | Polymarket: CHA 33.5 % · PHX 66.5 % | 7 |
| St. Louis Blues at Utah MammothNHL · | Polymarket: STL 48.5 % · UTA 51.5 % | 7 |
| New York Islanders at Los Angeles KingsNHL · | Polymarket: NYI 45.5 % · LA 54.5 % | 7 |
| UC Riverside Highlanders at San José State SpartansCollege Basketball · | Polymarket: UCR 22.5 % · SJSU 77.5 % | 6 |
| Kazakhstan at MoldovaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: KAZ 32.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · MDA 35.5 % | 4 |
| Iceland at BulgariaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: ISL 52.5 % · Draw 26.5 % · BUL 20.5 % | 4 |
| Estonia at LuxembourgUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: EST 26.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · LUX 42.5 % | 4 |
| Greece at NetherlandsUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GRE 16.5 % · Draw 21.5 % · NED 61.5 % | 4 |
| Switzerland at SloveniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: SUI 57.5 % · Draw 25.5 % · SVN 16.5 % | 4 |
| Gibraltar at AndorraUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GIB 15.5 % · Draw 30.5 % · AND 54.5 % | 4 |
| Germany at SerbiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: GER 77.5 % · Draw 13.5 % · SRB 9.5 % | 4 |
| Faroe Islands at SlovakiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: FRO 9.5 % · Draw 18.5 % · SVK 71.5 % | 4 |
| Azerbaijan at LiechtensteinUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: AZE 76.5 % · Draw 17.5 % · LIE 5.5 % | 4 |
| North Macedonia at ScotlandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: MKD 4.5 % · Draw 13.5 % · SCO 82.5 % | 4 |
| Mirra Andreeva vs Karolina MuchovaATP & WTA Tennis · | Polymarket: Mirra Andreeva 69.5 % · Karolina Muchova 30.5 % | 7 |
| Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina SvitolinaATP & WTA Tennis · | Polymarket: Aryna Sabalenka 63.5 % · Elina Svitolina 36.5 % | 7 |
| Florida State Seminoles at Pittsburgh PanthersCollege Football · | Polymarket: FSU 38.5 % · PITT 61.5 % | 7 |
| Illinois Fighting Illini at UCLA BruinsCollege Football · | Polymarket: ILL 22.5 % · UCLA 77.5 % | 7 |
| Houston Cougars at Colorado BuffaloesCollege Football · | Polymarket: HOU 76.5 % · COLO 23.5 % | 7 |
| Israel at KosovoUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: ISR 21.5 % · Draw 25.5 % · KOS 53.5 % | 4 |
| Wake Forest Demon Deacons at SMU MustangsCollege Football · | Polymarket: WAKE 48.5 % | 7 |
| Auburn Tigers at Mississippi State BulldogsCollege Football · | Polymarket: AUB 56.5 % · MSST 43.5 % | 7 |
| Northwestern Wildcats at Ohio State BuckeyesCollege Football · | Polymarket: NU 17.5 % · OSU 82.5 % | 7 |
| Syracuse Orange at NC State WolfpackCollege Football · | Polymarket: SYR 57.5 % · NCSU 42.5 % | 7 |
| Cincinnati Bearcats at Iowa State CyclonesCollege Football · | Polymarket: CIN 42.5 % · ISU 57.5 % | 7 |
| Wales at NorwayUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: WAL 7.5 % · Draw 12.5 % · NOR 79.5 % | 4 |
| James Madison Dukes at UConn HuskiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: JMU 63.5 % · CONN 36.5 % | 7 |
| Wisconsin Badgers at Maryland TerrapinsCollege Football · | Polymarket: WIS 74.5 % · MD 25.5 % | 7 |
| Duke Blue Devils at Miami HurricanesCollege Football · | Polymarket: DUKE 17.0 % · MIA 83.0 % | 7 |
| Hungary at GeorgiaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: HUN 37.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · GEO 31.5 % | 4 |
| Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets at Clemson TigersCollege Football · | Polymarket: GT 17.0 % · CLEM 83.0 % | 7 |
| Nebraska Cornhuskers at Rutgers Scarlet KnightsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NEB 84.5 % · RUTG 15.5 % | 7 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide at Vanderbilt CommodoresCollege Football · | Polymarket: ALA 88.5 % · VAN 11.5 % | 7 |
| East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ersCollege Football · | Polymarket: ECU 80.5 % · CLT 19.5 % | 7 |
| UAB Blazers at Temple OwlsCollege Football · | Kalshi: TEM 54.5 % | 7 |
| Arkansas State Red Wolves at Coastal Carolina ChanticleersCollege Football · | Polymarket: ARST 47.5 % · CCU 52.5 % | 7 |
| Tulane Green Wave at Rice OwlsCollege Football · | Polymarket: TULN 44.5 % · RICE 55.5 % | 7 |
| Kennesaw State Owls at Sam Houston BearkatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: KENN 72.0 % · SHSU 28.0 % | 7 |
| Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned FrogsCollege Football · | Kalshi: KSU 21.5 % | 7 |
| Republic of Ireland at AustriaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: IRL 16.0 % · Draw 22.5 % · AUT 61.5 % | 3 |
| Poland at RomaniaUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: POL 54.5 % · Draw 24.5 % · ROU 22.5 % | 4 |
| Ukraine at Northern IrelandUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: UKR 30.5 % · Draw 31.5 % · NIR 39.5 % | 4 |
| Denmark at PortugalUEFA Nations League · | Polymarket: DEN 15.5 % · Draw 19.5 % · POR 64.5 % | 4 |
| New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State BearsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NMSU 48.0 % · MOST 52.0 % | 7 |
| Florida International Panthers at Delaware Blue HensCollege Football · | Polymarket: FIU 35.0 % · DEL 65.0 % | 6 |
| Tennessee Volunteers at Texas A&M AggiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: TENN 56.5 % · TA&M 43.5 % | 7 |
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State PanthersCollege Football · | Polymarket: GASO 67.5 % · GAST 32.5 % | 7 |
| Baylor Bears at BYU CougarsCollege Football · | Kalshi: BAY 28.5 % | 7 |
| Arizona State Sun Devils at UCF KnightsCollege Football · | Kalshi: ASU 40.5 % | 7 |
| Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Western Kentucky HilltoppersCollege Football · | Polymarket: JXST 72.5 % · WKU 27.5 % | 7 |
| Florida Atlantic Owls at Tulsa Golden HurricaneCollege Football · | Polymarket: FAU 32.5 % · TLSA 67.5 % | 7 |
| Michigan Wolverines at Oregon DucksCollege Football · | Polymarket: MICH 21.5 % · ORE 78.5 % | 7 |
| Boston College Eagles at Notre Dame Fighting IrishCollege Football · | Polymarket: BC 2.7 % · ND 97.3 % | 6 |
| Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders at Liberty FlamesCollege Football · | Polymarket: MTSU 7.5 % · LIB 92.5 % | 7 |
| Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois HuskiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: NEV 70.5 % · NIU 29.5 % | 7 |
| California Golden Bears at Virginia CavaliersCollege Football · | Polymarket: CAL 21.5 % · UVA 78.5 % | 7 |
| Fresno State Bulldogs at Texas State BobcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: FRES 23.5 % · TXST 76.5 % | 7 |
| Ole Miss Rebels at Oklahoma SoonersCollege Football · | Polymarket: MISS 50.5 % · OU 49.5 % | 7 |
| Washington Huskies at Michigan State SpartansCollege Football · | Polymarket: WASH 60.5 % · MSU 39.5 % | 7 |
| Evan Elder vs Samuel SanchesUFC · | Polymarket: Evan Elder 47.5 % · Samuel Sanches 52.5 % | 5 |
| Macy Chiasson vs Bia MesquitaUFC · | Polymarket: Macy Chiasson 29.5 % · Bia Mesquita 70.5 % | 3 |
| Jared Gordon vs Melquizael CostaUFC · | Polymarket: Jared Gordon 22.5 % · Melquizael Costa 77.5 % | 5 |
| Southern Miss Golden Eagles at Louisiana Tech BulldogsCollege Football · | Polymarket: USM 12.5 % · LT 87.5 % | 7 |
| Kansas Jayhawks at West Virginia MountaineersCollege Football · | Polymarket: KU 43.5 % · WVU 56.5 % | 7 |
| App State Mountaineers at Marshall Thundering HerdCollege Football · | Kalshi: MRSH 48.0 % | 7 |
| Monterrey at QuerétaroLiga MX · | Polymarket: MTY 49.5 % · Draw 25.0 % · QRO 27.0 % | 4 |
| Oregon State Beavers at Boise State BroncosCollege Football · | Polymarket: ORST 15.5 % · BOIS 84.5 % | 7 |
| Florida Gators at Kentucky WildcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: FLA 40.5 % · UK 59.5 % | 7 |
| Vasco da Gama at ChapecoenseBrasileirao Serie A · | Polymarket: VAS 66.5 % · Draw 19.5 % · CHA 14.0 % | 5 |
| Donte Johnson vs Cesar AlmeidaUFC · | Polymarket: Donte Johnson 61.5 % · Cesar Almeida 38.5 % | 5 |
| Drew Dober vs Chris DuncanUFC · | Polymarket: Drew Dober 37.5 % · Chris Duncan 62.5 % | 5 |
| Jim Miller vs Terrance McKinneyUFC · | Polymarket: Jim Miller 33.0 % · Terrance McKinney 67.0 % | 5 |
| Stephen Thompson vs Charles RadtkeUFC · | Polymarket: Stephen Thompson 57.5 % · Charles Radtke 42.5 % | 4 |
| Troy Trojans at South Alabama JaguarsCollege Football · | Polymarket: TROY 41.5 % · USA 58.5 % | 7 |
| Louisville Cardinals at North Carolina Tar HeelsCollege Football · | Polymarket: LOU 61.5 % · UNC 38.5 % | 7 |
| Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany LionsCollege Football · | Polymarket: MINN 24.5 % · PSU 75.5 % | 7 |
| San José State Spartans at Air Force FalconsCollege Football · | Polymarket: SJSU 19.5 % · AFA 80.5 % | 7 |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Iowa HawkeyesCollege Football · | Polymarket: PUR 12.5 % · IOWA 87.5 % | 7 |
| Texas Longhorns at LSU TigersCollege Football · | Kalshi: TEX 38.0 % | 7 |
| Utah Utes at Arizona WildcatsCollege Football · | Polymarket: UTAH 56.5 % · ARIZ 43.5 % | 7 |
| Stanford Cardinal at Virginia Tech HokiesCollege Football · | Polymarket: STAN 14.5 % · VT 85.5 % | 7 |
| UNLV Rebels at New Mexico LobosCollege Football · | Polymarket: UNLV 15.5 % · UNM 84.5 % | 7 |
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Arkansas RazorbacksCollege Football · | Polymarket: SC 72.5 % · ARK 27.5 % | 7 |
| North Texas Mean Green at UTSA RoadrunnersCollege Football · | Polymarket: UNT 53.5 % · UTSA 46.5 % | 7 |
| Bilal Hasan vs Luis GuruleUFC · | Polymarket: Bilal Hasan 89.0 % · Luis Gurule 11.0 % | 5 |
| Caio Borralho vs Yousri BelgarouiUFC · | Polymarket: Caio Borralho 58.5 % · Yousri Belgaroui 41.5 % | 5 |
| Uroš Medić vs Kevin HollandUFC · | Polymarket: Uroš Medić 58.5 % · Kevin Holland 41.5 % | 4 |
| Ciryl Gane vs Josh HokitUFC · | Polymarket: Ciryl Gane 63.5 % · Josh Hokit 36.5 % | 4 |
| Kayla Harrison vs Amanda NunesUFC · | Polymarket: Kayla Harrison 62.5 % · Amanda Nunes 37.5 % | 5 |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State CowboysCollege Football · | Polymarket: TTU 39.5 % · OKST 60.5 % | 7 |
| Utah State Aggies at San Diego State AztecsCollege Football · | Polymarket: USU 57.5 % · SDSU 42.5 % | 7 |
| Wyoming Cowboys at UTEP MinersCollege Football · | Polymarket: WYO 74.5 % · UTEP 25.5 % | 7 |
| Colorado State Rams at Washington State CougarsCollege Football · | Polymarket: CSU 24.5 % · WSU 75.5 % | 7 |
| North Dakota State Bison at Hawai'i Rainbow WarriorsCollege Football · | Polymarket: NDSU 69.5 % · HAW 30.5 % | 7 |
| New England Patriots at Detroit LionsNFL · | Polymarket: NE 41.5 % · DET 58.5 % | 7 |
Exchange prices are what traders pay before the venue's fee. Sportsbook odds include the book's margin; "fair" removes it proportionally. Best price is the lowest cost per $1 of payout. Data only — we do not link to or recommend any sportsbook.