← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 1 wk. ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
3 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$438.7K
24h vol.
$374.351
1w vol.
$6.3K
1m vol.
$124.4K
Liquidity
$65.2K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 4¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 0 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 3,097 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 3,047 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 2 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 444 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 444 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 444 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 293 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 97 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 34 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 16 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 250 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 13 |
| 1 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 7 |
| 1 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 230 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 2,000 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 653 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1,297 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 250 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 250 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 0 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 30 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 1 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.