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Updated 3 days ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?
5 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$153.3K
24h vol.
$2.6K
1w vol.
$10.5K
1m vol.
$21.9K
Liquidity
$23.4K
Bid / Ask
4¢ / 6¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 37 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 18 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 103 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 37 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 24 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 24 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 178 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 24 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 154 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 56 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 56 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 4¢ | 224 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 55 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 60 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 109 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 5¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 5¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 80 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 80 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 108 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 108 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 156 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 156 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 77 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 77 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 85 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 85 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 716 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 68 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 75 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 115 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 85 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 300 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 22 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 8¢ | 51 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 311 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 129 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 145 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 37 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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