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Updated 3 days ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
6 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$913.7K
24h vol.
$2.8K
1w vol.
$22.6K
1m vol.
$122.5K
Liquidity
$67.9K
Bid / Ask
5¢ / 6¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
5¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1,441 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 1,000 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 410 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 31 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 19 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 415 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 415 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 57 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 57 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 31 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 31 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 6¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 11 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 15 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 66 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 66 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 78 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 21 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 21 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 2,586 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 10 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 8 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 100 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 2,232 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 86 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 94¢ | 150 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 6¢ | 26 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 94¢ | 124 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 93¢ | 32 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 32 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 7¢ | 4 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 7¢ | 4 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Buy | 92¢ | 18 |
| 5 days ago | Sell | 92¢ | 6 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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