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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?
4 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$78.4K
24h vol.
$59.688
1w vol.
$1.6K
1m vol.
$9.8K
Liquidity
$32.4K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 5¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
4¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 57 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 57 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 6,757 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 315 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 128 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 5,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 60 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 1,104 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 0 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 43 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 43 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 2 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 5 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 400 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 93¢ | 295 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 105 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 200 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 145 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 55 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 6¢ | 4,277 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 400 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 100 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 552 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 1,000 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 50 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 175 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 94¢ | 300 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 6¢ | 150 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 295 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 18 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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