← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 12 min. ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
57 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$747.6K
24h vol.
$10.7K
1w vol.
$115.5K
1m vol.
$155.3K
Liquidity
$29.5K
Bid / Ask
56¢ / 58¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
56¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 23 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 23 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 24 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 24 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 115 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 115 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 57¢ | 443 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 43¢ | 307 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 36 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 48 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 42¢ | 48 |
| 17 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 1 |
| 17 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 1 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 26 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 26 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 10,000 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 4,458 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 5,102 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 84 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 142 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 100 |
| 19 hr. ago | Buy | 42¢ | 30 |
| 19 hr. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 85 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 57¢ | 323 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 43¢ | 223 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 42¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 58¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 43¢ | 52 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 57¢ | 4 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 43¢ | 48 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 58¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 58¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 16 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 26 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 43¢ | 133 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 7 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 116 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 57¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 24 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 43¢ | 130 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 69 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 57¢ | 61 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 56¢ | 130 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.