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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
3 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$50K
24h vol.
$87.37
1w vol.
$204.633
1m vol.
$4.5K
Liquidity
$13.3K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 167 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 81 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 86 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 852 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 167 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 555 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 43 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 17 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 40 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 83 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 33 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 36 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 190 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 36 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 3 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 53 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 13 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 687 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 448 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 136 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 54 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 99 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 99 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 37 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 37 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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