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Updated 2 days ago

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?
25 %
chance
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
10 outcomesTotal volume
$469.5K
24h vol.
$665.205
1w vol.
$22.3K
1m vol.
$59.8K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
24¢ / 25¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
24¢
Start date
May 19, 2026
End date
Jan 5, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 days ago | Sell | 23¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 77¢ | 51 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 129 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 129 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 23¢ | 108 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 77¢ | 108 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 72 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 157 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 107 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 23¢ | 120 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 77¢ | 120 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 149 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 29 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 76¢ | 120 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 1 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 77¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 77¢ | 260 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 77¢ | 260 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 24¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 24¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 178 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 78 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 25¢ | 50 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 75¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 25¢ | 40 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 27¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 27¢ | 200 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 4 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 73¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 73¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 27¢ | 220 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 73¢ | 220 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 3 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 72¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 72¢ | 10 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 71¢ | 5,980 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 29¢ | 795 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 29¢ | 50 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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